By Kevin E. Noonan —

In an ironic twist, the worst economic downturn in over seventy years seems to have coincided with an economic first: according to G. Steven Burrill (at right), CEO of Burrill & Co., in 2008, the biotechnology industry became profitable for the first time in its forty-year history (see FierceBiotech report).

In "Biotech 2009: Life Sciences: Navigating the Sea Change," Mr. Burrill reports that two companies, Amgen and Genentech, account for "a big reason" why the sector was profitable. And most of the companies in the sector remain "works in progress" that need the "umbilical cord" of investment to remain viable. This has now become a challenge, of course, since the days of "relatively easy access to cheap capital" are over, at least for now. And this has resulted in many biotech companies being on "life support," with "limited cash resources."

This is the same message reporters heard from James Greenwood (at right), President and CEO of the Biotechnology Industry Organization, during a press conference earlier today (see "BIO Meets the Press"). In a statistical report released today, Mr. Greenwood revealed research indicating that, in addition to many biotech companies having only between 6 and 12 months of working capital, investment has also declined. Money raised in initial public offerings (IPOs) declined 97% in 2008 compared with 2007, and total capital raised by the industry fell by 55%. These numbers translated to 32 life science IPOs in 2006 raising $1.7 billion, compared with 41 life science IPOs raising $1.9 billion in 2007, falling to one IPO in 2008 that raised $5.8 million. In addition, 19 biotech companies withdrew IPOs in 2008, and 6 companies went bankrupt.
Similar bleak economic news is in the Burrill report. Of the 370 biotech companies analyzed for the report, "almost 60% saw their market capitalization fall below $100 million." One hundred companies announced "corporate restructuring" involving cutting staff and reducing support for projects; the BIO report showed that 34 biotech companies laid off 10% or more of their workforce since September and that at least 24 companies had "shelved" drug development programs for diseases including Alzheimer's disease, diabetes, multiple sclerosis, and various cancers. This constituted a "clear pattern" that developed in the 4th quarter of 2008, according to Burrill. "Blue chip" biotech companies who have "product revenue streams, strong pipelines and big pharma partners" have not been as negatively affected. Accordingly, investors consider these companies to be "safe havens"; in another irony, the evidence for this confidence is that the Burrill Biotech Select Index fell only 10% compared with a 35% drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and a 42% drop in the NASDAQ.

The BIO report reflects these realities. Almost all (87%) of U.S. biotech companies lost stock value in 2008. The median stock performance for all biotech stocks declined 61%; small biotech companies had a 64% decline, while large biotechs (with more than $1 billion in market cap) declined only 30%. Breaking these numbers down further, the BIO report showed that 91/350 biotech companies with under $1 billion in market cap are trading below their cash value, a 3-fold increase over 2007.
The Burrill report contains some recommendations for dealing with the new economic realities. These include advice that companies and their executives get into "survival mode" and stop expecting "the good old days" to return. Companies should also realize that they will need cash, so they cannot be concerned about diluting their stock value. The report also recommends a shift in focus, from treating illness to promoting wellness, a paradigm shift that echoes Mr. Greenwood's call for treating chronic diseases. The Burrill report also recommends "BioGreenTech" and biomarker research for drug development (Mr. Burrill does not seem to share the concerns of many that biomarker patent protection may be weakening in the wake of the Classen Immunotherapies decision by the Federal Circuit).
Despite all the relative "gloom and doom" of portions of the report, Mr. Burrill rates the buying opportunities in the sector as the "best ever."
The report became available in PDF version on February 24, and will be available in paper form on March 20.
• "NVCA Study Shows Decline in 2008 Investment; BIO Study Predicts Biotech Rebound in 2009," February 16, 2009
• "NVCA Predicts Another Slow Year for Venture-backed Businesses in 2009," December 18, 2008
• "Predictions Dire for U.S. Pharmaceutical Industry," August 6, 2008
• "Docs at BIO: Steve Burrill's State of the Biotechnology Industry Report 2008," June 19, 2008
• "Rough Times Ahead for Biotech Industry?" May 20, 2008

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